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Most Asian currencies weakened on
Tuesday, with the Indonesian rupiah hit by recession concerns
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while the Malaysian ringgit slumped to a new 24-year low after
the parliament was dissolved for snap elections.
Investors fear the ongoing monetary tightening cycle in the
United States and other major economies, the fastest pace of
tightening in several decades, may end up tipping the global
economy into a recession.
Bond yields rose for the fourth straight session in
Indonesia, with yields last seen at 7.296%. The
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rupiah lost 0.3%.
Malaysia’s ringgit dropped as much as 0.5% to trade
at 4.670 to the dollar, its lowest since January 1998. Stocks in
Malaysia also dropped as much as 1.6% to their weakest
since May 2020.
The country’s prime minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob announced
on Monday the dissolution of parliament, paving the way for an
early election to be held, aiming to win a stronger public
mandate.
“A strong mandate would be helpful, but the MYR will
ultimately depend on the priorities of the new government,” said
Wei-Liang Chang, an FX and credit strategist at DBS.
“Markets will want to see increased fiscal consolidation,
more pro-growth policies, on top of a greater openness to trade
and investment.”
The election is to be held within 60 days of dissolution of
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parliament. Analysts at Maybank said this period would likely
see the currency remaining under pressure, not helped in the
least by buoyant U.S. Treasury yields and the global growth
slowdown.
The South Korean won traded about 1.8% lower at
1,437.3 to the dollar, while the country’s main stock index
trended 2.2% lower. Korean markets returned from a
holiday on Monday and were catching up on the day’s sell-off.
Broader sentiment across the region was also negative, with
the Thai baht and Singapore dollar weakening
0.5% and 0.2%, respectively, bogged down by persistent concerns
over global growth and fears of a recession.
The Philippines’ trade deficit for August came in at a
record $6 billion, with imports rising 26%, compared with an ING
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estimate of 22%. The peso, however, was broadly
unchanged.
Markets also await U.S. inflation data due late on Thursday.
Analysts expect headline inflation to have pulled back slightly
in September.
China’s yuan fell 0.5% against the dollar amid
U.S. restrictions aimed at stifling China’s semiconductor
industry and repeated COVID-19 restrictions clouding the outlook
for its economic growth.
U.S. stocks fell on Monday, with the negative sentiment
broadly tied to chipmaker stocks and global growth worries.
“Smaller falls in the U.S. equity market yesterday suggest
the selling momentum may be running out of steam again,”
analysts at ING said.
Stock markets in Asia were mixed, with major stock indices
in the Philippines and China rising 1% and 0.4%,
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respectively, while those in Taiwan and Thailand
fell 3.9% and 0.4%, respectively.
HIGHLIGHTS:
** Indonesia retail sales in August rise 4.9%
Asia stock indexes and currencies at
0354 GMT
COUNTRY FX RIC FX FX YTD INDEX STOCKS STOCKS
DAILY % DAILY YTD %
% %
Japan -0.02 -21.02 -2.36 -8.05
China -0.51 -11.62 0.40 -17.96
India -0.08 -9.77 0.09 -0.56
Indonesia -0.36 -7.26 -0.05 6.22
Malaysia -0.47 -10.84 -1.33 -11.50
Philippines +0.02 -13.56 1.00 -17.30
S.Korea -1.56 -17.15 -2.16 -26.63
Singapore -0.19 -6.33 -0.03 -0.55
Taiwan -0.68 -13.16 -3.91 -27.73
Thailand -0.52 -12.45 -0.40 -5.63
(Reporting by Harshita Swaminathan, Additional reporting by
Jaskiran Singh; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)
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